UnitedHealthcare Health insurance that includes all Western PA hospitals
Tuesday September 18 2018
Leave this field empty.

If Vegas bows out, bettors want a Penguins three-peat as much as you

PSR Logo
In terms of betting between the blue lines, the Pittsburgh Penguins are the public darlings of the Eastern Conference, however it is the Vegas Golden Knights who have dethroned the Pens as the top-wagered NHL team this year, and it looks to stay the same way as we enter the 2018 NHL Playoffs.

Like the Steelers, the Penguins get nothing but love from the short-term memory betting public.  They see those Stanley Cups, they get a load of guys like Sidney Crosby and Evgeni Malkin and they just can’t stop staring at that vibrant black and gold throwback sweater.

“They have been one of the most popular, consistent bets for us in the past several years,” said Mike Langley, an oddsmaker at a Caribbean-based offshore sportsbook.  “Even though the NHL isn’t the most popular bet by a long run, the Pittsburgh Penguins still see large support from our gamblers.  They love the success of that team.”

The Pens are entering their league-best 12th consecutive playoff appearance, when they host Philadelphia for Game one of the First round later this evening.  Pittsburgh comes in as a whopping favorite to take the series.  They sit at -190 favorites to win tonight’s game.

“We opened that series price up at Penguins -240 and the Flyers at +190, and now we’re up to Penguins -260 and Flyers +210,” explained Jeff Sherman, who is the account manager at Westgate Superbook in Las Vegas.

What makes your Penguins (49-26-7) such a hot bet in Las Vegas and abroad is unequivocal.

 “[Bettors] have short-term memory,” said Sherman,” and they just remember what they’ve seen recently.  With Nashville doing so well, and with Nashville being the favorite for the Cup at 4/1 odds, the series price has gone up so much.”

“Holding the Stanley Cup helps,” continued Langley, “but people will bet the Penguins quite a bit because they continue to win this year, and because they continue to score and score a lot.”

It’s all over

The Penguins know a thing or two about hitting the over, ending the season with an O/U record of 47-33-2, including 16 of the last 20 games of the season. 

This outbreak isn’t exclusive to PPG Paints Arena, it’s a full-on league contagion.  According to Covers.com, of 1,271 regular season games, just 18 games had a 5-goal O/U line, with six of those coming from the eliminated St. Louis Blues. 

On average, teams were scoring 2.97 goals per game this year, which marks the highest since 2005-06 (3.08).  It doesn’t always translate to postseason scoring, as the last three years, the under has ruled the first round, with the total staying below in 20 of 42 games (nine of those games pushing).

Betting on Vegas

Blame it on the generous, somewhat unscrupulous rules of this year’s expansion draft that benefited the team that paid a half-million to join the league this year, or just call it a feel-good story of destiny.  Either way, the Vegas Golden Knights (51-24-7) have rocked their way to the postseason in its inaugural season in the NHL.  -140 favorites over the LA Kings in game one tomorrow night, the Golden Knights are easily the hottest bet in Sin City.

Sherman expects “[Vegas/LA] betting is going to exceed the other two games by a very wide margin.”

That’s for good reason.

“The further that they get, the more enthusiasm this city will have, and people I’m sure will want to get more involved from that aspect of it,” further explained Sherman of the popularity amongst bettors when it comes to the Golden Knights.  “We already have more volume on their game than any other game right now.”

According to Sherman, Vegas took the most amount of money wagered in the regular season this year, with the Penguins finishing in second.

“We’ve been doing about 10 times the amount on their games—when they play at home—then any other game scheduled that night, and it’ll be even more during the playoffs,” said Sherman of the handle on Golden Knights action.

One of the prime reasons for the Golden Knights being such a popular bet is both live and between period wagering, which can bring you adjusted moneylines at the touch of a finger—a most appetizing feature when waiting in those painfully long lines at the bathrooms during intermission.

“Every Knights game, we’d have this wagering where we offer adjusted lines in between the first and second periods,” continued Sherman, and that’s why we’d see a lot more wagering on home games than we did for road games.”

Fly from the desert to the beach, and you will find a different wagering style from public bettors on this year’s NHL Playoffs.

According to five offshore sportsbooks, the total amount of money being wagered on both game one, series betting and Stanley Cup to-win betting is as follows.

1.     Penguins

2.     Predators

3.     Golden Knights

4.      Bruins

5.      Lightning

It’s tough to be the king

Since 1990, only six teams who held the Presidents’ Trophy, or NHL’s best regular season record, have gone on to win the Stanley Cup.  Last year, the Washington Capitals had that dubious honor, bowing out to the Pens in the second round.  The 2012-13 Chicago Blackhawks were the last team to carry the best record and win the Stanley Cup. 

This year, it goes to the Nashville Predators (53-18-11), who are the odds-on favorites to win the Cup at 4/1.

Regular season betting records:
*Profit is for $100 bettors

Best profit:
Vegas Golden Knights 51-31 (+1786)

Worst profit
Pittsburgh Penguins 47-35 (-$145)

Odds to win Stanley Cup
via Intertops.eu

Nashville

4/1

Tampa Bay

5/1

Boston

6/1

Vegas

7/1

Winnipeg

8/1

Toronto

9/1

Pittsburgh

10/1

Washington

10/1

Anaheim

20/1

San Jose

20/1

Minnesota

22/1

Columbus

25/1

Los Angeles

25/1

Philadelphia

25/1

Colorado

28/1

New Jersey

28/1

 

Series totals
via Intertops.eu

Minnesota

+185

Winnipeg

-225

   

Philadelphia

+190

Pittsburgh

-230

   

Los Angeles

+110

Vegas

-130

   

New Jersey

+270

Tampa Bay

-330

   

Toronto

+130

Boston

-150

   

Columbus

+105

Washington

-125

   

Colorado

+375

Nashville

-500

   

San Jose

+105

Anaheim

-125

 

Predictions

                    Eastern Conf. Series                                                    Western Conf. Series
                                    

Eastern Conf. Champ             Western Conf. Champ
               

Stanley Cup Champion

Share
PSR VIDEO
Full size video and summary... Misc YouTube Player 1
Full size video and summary... Misc YouTube Player 2
Full size video and summary... Misc YouTube Player 3
Josh Bell had not hit a walk-off home run since he was a member of the Altoona Curve in 2015. He changed that Friday with a soaring shot for the left field loonies.
Custom 1North Shore Notes
Francisco Cervelli is as passionate about the current state of Venezuela as anybody you'll find. Last month, the Pirates' catcher spoke passionately about the movement, his country's state of affairs and the future of Venezuela.
Custom 2North Shore NotesPress Room
Gustav Nyquist and Jimmy Howard led the way for the Red Wings, who landed Pittsburgh its fourth straight regulation loss.
Blue LineCustom 3Press Room
Monday night was more than a game. For Jameson Taillon, it was another heave in an ongoing push to liberation from a disease that can break down the toughest of men.
Custom 4North Shore NotesPress Room