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Dealing
Pirates' Rebuilding Plan Has Doubters
By John E. Sacco
The prospect of power pitching
must be one of the few things that gets general manager Dave Littlefield
through the maddening process of rebuilding the Pirates into a winning
team.
If all goes right, by 2006 the
Pirates could have a bevy of major-league ready pitchers to help the
ailing franchise rid itself of that disgusting loser tag.
But it will take much more than
a bevy of young, unproven pitchers to help transform the Pirates into
contender status.
That's why it is imperative the
organization's rate of success with their young pitchers be better than
scouts, coaches, managers and general managers typically expect.
"I've heard the baseline thought
that if you get three solid players out of each draft and they are achievers,
that's a quality draft," Littlefield said. "You continually want to
have drafts like that. You want to get to the point where every year,
you are promoting players from your system to the big leagues."
In Littlefield's wildest dreams,
two years from now, the Pirates' starting rotation would include Oliver
Perez, John VanBenschoten, Sean Burnett and perhaps some combination
of Bryan Bullington, Paul Maholm, Cory Stewart, Ryan Vogelsong, Kip
Wells or Josh Fogg. The emergence of the young pitchers would allow
the team to deal Wells or Fogg or both to gain help for the offense.
The organization is virtually
bereft of young talent at third base and first base. In fact, most experts
don't think the Pirates have an impact position player in their farm
system.
Some even say the organization
will suffer from taking Bullington, projected as a No. 3 starter in
the big leagues, with the No. 1 pick in 2002 instead of shortstop B.J.
Upton, considered the best player in the minor leagues. Upton , drafted
out of high school, could reach the majors for Tampa Bay before Bullington
reaches Pittsburgh .
That said , the Pirates are being
built with pitching. And the thought is, if they have enough of it,
they'll be able to fortify other parts of the team by trading some of
the excess.
"We do have an issue about having
more pitching than position players," Littlefield said. "We'd love to
be able to coordinate and try to gain a better balance. We realize it's
unbalanced right now. Nobody has too many pitchers. If these guys are
legitimate and we do have a lot of pitching depth, there's no doubt
we'd consider trading some of it. I lived that with the ( Florida )
Marlins. We traded a lot of high-profile players and got a lot of prospects
in return. Then we ended up packaging three pretty good pitching prospects
to the New York Yankees for Mike Lowell, who helped them win a World
Series."
Impact Over Depth
Baseball America ranks the Pirates
as having the 11th best minor-league system in the major leagues.
Jim Callis, executive editor
of Baseball America , said that has more to do with the depth of the
organization than it does impact players. That fact may not allow the
Pirates to become as good as some people might be expecting.
"We like their system," Callis
said. "But you win with impact players more than you win with depth.
If you look at the best teams, they have stars. I question whether the
Pirates have a pure No. 1 starter among their prospects.
"VanBenschoten really projects
as a No. 2, Burnett as a No. 3. That doesn't mean they are going to
be 2s or 3s, but they're not Mark Prior or Kerry Wood.
"Those guys can be good pitchers
but not ones to carry a team."
Callis said Bullington's stuff
was better as a collegiate senior than as a minor-leaguer in 2003 and
he still projects no higher than a No. 3-type starter.
Callis added that before the
Pirates make solid plans to strengthen their offense through trading
pitching, they need to develop their pitchers at a better than average
rate.
"I can't think of too many teams
capable of trading away pitching to help themselves in other areas,"
Callis said. "You have to fill a rotation before you can have a surplus
to trade. Sometimes, you'll create more holes than what you fill."
In addition to their high draft
picks, the Pirates have other pitchers they remain high on, including
Ian Snell, who could be a starter or reliever, Blair Johnson and others.
"In an ideal world, the Pirates
will have enough pitching depth to add to their offense," said Jonathan
Mayo, a writer who follows the minor leagues for mlb.com. " There's
plenty of models out there - Minnesota , Oakland and Florida - that
feature pitching talent to feed the major league team and to be used
as trade bait.
"If the Pirates continue to concentrate
on pitching, and those guys come through, some day they might be able
to trade for that third baseman."
Positioned For Success?
While it's no secret that the
Pirates are short of positional prospects, they do hold some hope for
infielder Jose Castillo, catcher/first baseman J.R. House and second
baseman Freddy Sanchez to provide help between now and 2006.
"The key component to getting
better is players," Littlefield said. "We need better players. We're
finally getting into position where our prospects are closer to the
big leagues."
Callis questions just how much
Castillo or House will help the team. He does think Sanchez, if he can
overcome his ankle injury, will be a solid hitter for the Pirates.
"I never been a huge Castillo
fan," Callis said. "He had a big year at Class A Lynchburg in 2002 but
he was repeating the league. His numbers went down last year. He wouldn't
hold a contender back but isn't a guy who will make much of a difference.
House can hit but he has to stay healthy. I'm not convinced he's a big-league
catcher, maybe a first baseman."
Mayo is more optimistic about
House being able to find a position so the Pirates can make use of his
hitting ability. He also thinks the Pirates will have enough pitching
depth to add offensive pieces by 2006.
"They need a little help everywhere,
with maybe the exception of starting rotation" Mayo said. "For the Pirates,
everything is based on pitching. They haven't had to rush anybody and
that's a good thing."
Littlefield said bringing a quality
third baseman into the organization will be a priority between now and
2006. If all goes well, he'll have a couple pitchers to dangle in front
of some team.
"It's hard to find third basemen,"
Littlefield said. "They're hard to find. There's not many in the industry.
We're always on the lookout for a third baseman.
"We need more position players
and part of our approach is to fill that void."
John E. Sacco has covered
the Pirates and major league baseball for PSR since October 1998. Previously,
he covered the team from 1986-1992 and is a former member of the Baseball
Writers Association of America Pittsburgh chapter.
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